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Yochi Dreazen in the Wall Street Journal has encouraging word that the military is bolstering its intelligence efforts–in both sense of the word–on Afghanistan and Pakistan on two fronts.cheap gucci belts At the Pentagon, Brigadier General John Nicholson has been put in charge of a new Af/Pak coordination office, which is very good news as Nicholson has extensive experience on the Af/Pak border, especially in the vagaries of counterinsurgency warfare. At Centcom, General Petraeus has set up an institute to coordinate military intelligence-gathering and train military intelligence officers for service in the region. The Centcom program is particularly important. We’ve gone eight years in Afghanistan without definitive, multi-dimensional maps of the districts–basic things like how many people live there, the local tribal structure, how many development programs (both NATO and UN), how many troops, police, patterns and types of violence, levels of corruption.louis vuitton replica It is simply impossible to wage a counterinsurgency campaign without this sort of information. (And for those who believe that any sort of NATO presence is counterproductive, these sorts of maps will be able to prove or disprove that–and perhaps find ?an appropriate balance between troop levels and development programs, and also which development programs work best.) I’ll have more on the Afghanistan strategy review and the President’s looming decision in my print column tomorrow.
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But for someone routinely called a liberal by those on the right, Obama??s 2013 budget submission reflects a decidedly conservative mindset: – The Navy maintains its fleet of 11 aircraft carriers, and the armadas of support ships and aircraft needed to protect them and give them their punch.fake uggs – The Pentagon will continue to embrace its nuclear triad, that system of bombers, submarines and land-based missiles to ensure that if the enemy can eliminate one, or even two, legs in a pre-emptive, bolt-out-of-the-blue strike, the third remaining leg will remain to retaliate (Battleland is not making this up). – The share of the budget dedicated to the Air Force and the Navy shrinks, which clashes with the well-publicized ??pivot?? from Europe to the Pacific and the necessary reliance on air and sea-power to handle that huge expanse of the globe. But overall, there is little change in how the services split the Pentagon pie. ??It??s sort of ironic that pre-9/11 budget shares are about the same as they are in 2017,?? Air Force Lieut.louis vuitton shoes replica General Larry Spencer, director of force structure for the Joint Chiefs, told reporters (others might choose a different word, like predictable, or phrase, like unbreakable rice bowls). ??What is more interesting in this budget request are the major changes that were not made,?? says Todd Harrison, defense-budget expert at the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments. ??Overall, the budget request offers more continuity than change.?? He cites ??institutional inertia?? that has the Navy preserving aircraft carriers while shorting submarines, and Air Force plans to scuttle ??brand new aircraft in favor of maintaining older platforms.fake ugg boots?? The balloon shaving ?? where skilled budgeteers try to save money by shaving the balloon??s walls ?? can be seen most clearly in the Pentagon??s compensation accounts. ??Total savings in military pay and benefits amount to about $29 billion over the next five years,?? the Pentagon said in its budget summary. ??These changes amount to slightly more than 10% of required savings even though pay and benefits represent about one-third of the defense budget.?? The Pentagon wants to keep paying the help well, even as it plans to cut more than 80,000 ground troops over the coming five years.fake louis vuitton ??There’s no pay cuts and there’s no pay freezes,?? Spencer said. ??We??re really just slowing the growth in the out years.?? And it punted on the thorny issue of military retirement, which currently allows troops to leave after serving 20 years with a pension equal to half their basic pay. ??For military retirement, we are not proposing any changes,?? Pentagon comptroller Robert Hale said.loui vuitton ??But we are asking Congress to set up a Military Retirement Modernization Commission that will have the time and staff to look at this very complicated area of military compensation and make recommendations.?? Republicans expressed outrage at what they see as the gutting of the nation??s military might. ??The President??s budget is a clear articulation of Mr. Obama??s priorities,?? Rep.fake louis vuitton Howard ??Buck?? McKeon, the California Republican who chairs the armed services committee, said in a statement. It ??reduce resources for our struggling Armed Forces, and redirect them to exploding domestic bureaucracies.?? But his Democratic counterpart, Rep. Adam Smith of Washington state, embraced the spending plan.louis vuitton belts ??We can rationally evaluate our national security strategy, our defense expenditures, and the current set of missions we ask the military to undertake and come up with a strategy that enhances national security by spending taxpayer dollars more wisely and effectively,?? he said. ??I believe this budget meets that goal.?? The only slice of the Pentagon budget slated to grow under the Pentagon proposal is the operations and maintenance account. That??s the money that fuels readiness, and its growth ?? by some $11 billion ?? suggests Defense Secretary Leon Panetta isn??t going let the military wither on his watch.chanel outlet ??It’s up 6% from fiscal ’12 to ’13,?? Hale, the Pentagon??s top money counter said, ??while the overall budget is down 1%.?? The Pentagon is seeking $525.4 billion in its standard, non-war budget, plus $88.5 billion for Afghanistan and the broader terror fight.replica louis vuitton While defense spending has peaked, the 2013 proposal is 77% more than the pre-9/11 Pentagon budget for 2001. Hale insisted that the Pentagon is not planning for the sequester cuts, which will happen automatically early next year if Congress fails to come up with $1.2 trillion in spending cuts over the coming decade. Critics have suggested the Pentagon??s failure to prepare for what is looking like an increasingly likely occurrence is military malpractice.fake chanel shoes ??We are not planning,?? Hale said Monday. ??And I know nobody believes this, but it’s true. I think I’d know it if we were.?? The sequester is ??not a good policy,?? Hale said (as if this might be the first time the national government did something that isn??t good policy).fake uggs ??We need is the Congress as a whole to enact a balanced package of deficit reductions that the president can sign and that will replace sequester, and do it in a sensible way, rather than this kind of meat-axe approach that’s represented?? by the sequester guillotine. ??So no, we are not planning.?? Hale said he??s ??hopeful?? Congress will dodge the sequester bullet. As a former Navy officer and long-time budget marksman, Hale knows that hope is not supposed to be an element of military strategy.ugg boots outlet The military??s job is to prepare for the worst. When Congress is involved, you can usually count on it occurring.
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Concord, New Hampshire Rick Santorum had a terrible and deeply silly day of campaigning yesterday.loui vuitton I watched him work at two events. He got into a foolish and unnecessary argument over gay marriage with students at a college convention–and then he wasted an evening speaking to a truly lunatic fringe assemblage of Glenn Beck viewers in the town of Windham. This morning, I saw Jon Huntsman speak to the same group of college students–and he gave, by far, the most sane and substantive, but still conservative, stump speech I’ve seen a Republican candidate deliver this year. First, Santorum.louis vuitton handbags for sale His performance with college students was amateur hour, a childish attempt at Socratic dialogue, witlessly demeaning to those–especially those conservatives–who believe that marriage shouldn’t be subject to state intervention. It was demeaning because he asked the students if it was ok if 3 people wanted to get married, which started the mayhem. The question was, as a student quickly pointed out, irrelevant: it was about polygamy, not gay marriage. Santorum would have been much better off if he had said, “Look, my church teaches that marriage is between a man and a woman.ugg boots outlet I believe that to be true traditionally, biologically and spiritually. In my mind, marriage has everything to do with bringing new life into this world. Only a marriage between a man and a woman is conducive to that. You may disagree with my view.chanel handbags for sale I hope, at least, you’ll give it some thought. But let’s move on to other issues that are crucial this year, issues we might agree on.” (MORE: The Passion of Rick Santorum) For the record: I believe Santorum’s view of homosexuality is archaic and inhumane. I believe that the acknowledgment of homosexuality as a natural state has reduced the sum of unnecessary anguish in the world.louis vuitton backpack for sale I also believe that two men or two women who love each other, and want to share their resources, and be responsible for each other, especially late in life, should be able to do so legally–and that such couples should be allowed to adopt and raise children. Whether these sorts of arrangements should be consecrated by various religious sects is up to those sects (and that means that private agencies, like Catholic Charities, can’t be forced to provide adoptive children to gay couples–a current controversy). I know more than a few such couples; they are my friends and neighbors; they are active, positive citizens who add stability and social capital to our community. Any denigration of these people, even the slightest suggestion–implicit in Santorum’s question–that their love is comparable to bestiality, polygamy or anything less than the love of a man and a woman, is an act of anti-social violence.louis vuitton handbags for sale But Santorum clearly wanted the fight, which is six different kinds of stupid. ?Watching him at both events yesterday, he seemed ?completely inept as a big league candidate. A professional politician would have emphasized his economic plan in a state traditionally obsessed with economics. Santorum’s desire to eliminate the corporate tax on manufacturing could be a very popular issue in New Hampshire, but he barely mentioned it.louis vuitton handbags for sale At the Glenn Beck event in Windham, he spent much of the evening responding to lunatic conspiracy theories about United Nations threats to U.S. sovereignty, promulgated by the ridiculous Beck. He didn’t pander, which was good.replica gucci shoes But he didn’t really get his message across either, which was bad. The contrast with Hunstman couldn’t be more stark. Huntsman was sharp this morning, much better than the last time I saw him on the stump. He focused on the issues that actually matter–the economy, the deficit, energy and foreign policy, as well as the larger problem of trust or, rather, how to deal with the lack of trust in any of our big institutions, from Congress to the Presidency to Wall Street.louis vuitton outlet online Huntsman is a conservative. He is pro-life (with no flip-flops), he imposed a flat tax in Utah (and would have a lower, flatter but still progressive federal income tax structure), he favors Paul Ryan-style entitlement reform, he is opposed to Dodd-Frank and other government schemes to over-regulate the business community (but he has a plan to break up the “too big to fail” banks). He knows a lot and communicates it easily. But he’s going nowhere in this primary.cheap gucci belts Others have suggested that he “offended” the Republican base by acknowledging his belief in evolution and man-made climate change. If so, the Republican base badly needed offending. (MORE: The Huntsman Fallacy) But Huntsman’s real sin is deeper than that: his is a vitriol-free candidacy. There is no gratuitous sliming of Barack Obama or his fellow Republican candidates.replica louis vuitton There is no spurious talk of “socialism.” He pays not the slightest heed to the various licks and chops that Rush Limbaugh has made into stations of the cross for Republican candidates. He is out-of-step with the anger that has overwhelmed his party and puts it at odds with the vast, sensible mainstream of this country. Because he has refused to engage in such carnival tactics–because he hasn’t had any oops! moments, extramarital affairs, lobbying deals with Freddie Mac or flip-flops–the media have largely ignored him.louis vuitton speedy That makes us complicit in a national political calamity. But Republican voters have been complicit, too: a conservative party that doesn’t take Huntsman seriously as a candidate has truly lost its way.
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In another sign of the front runner’s growing strength, Mitt Romney has taken the lead in South Carolina, according to a TIME/CNN/ORC poll released Friday.louis vuitton outlet online The poll, which surveyed likely primary voters on Wednesday and Thursday, found Romney commanding 37% support, a 17-point gain since early December. He’s not the only one carrying momentum out of Iowa’s photo finish. Rick Santorum has surged 15 points, to 19%, picking up the largest chunk of Newt Gingrich’s shattered coalition. The former Speaker is still in the hunt with 18%, but that’s down from 43% in December.louis vuitton speedy Ron Paul’s share has doubled, to 12%, while Rick Perry’s has dwindled to a mere 5%. The new data, which come a little more than two weeks before the Palmetto primary, confirm the broader contours of the GOP race. Romney’s solid position is strengthened by the splintering effect produced by his rivals ?? his 37% support is equal to that of Santorum’s and Gingrich’s combined. The largest remaining threat to Romney is a conservative bloc coalesced behind one candidate.gucci outlet online As of Friday, that simply isn’t happening.? Romney is getting solid shares of born-again Christians (35%), Tea Party supporters (32%) and self-described conservatives (37%). This is, however, South Carolina, notoriously one of the nastiest political battlefields in the U.S.louis vuitton handbags for sale, and the anonymous backstabbing, radio spots, church fliers and super-PAC attack ads have yet to saturate the state. And a 49% plurality of likely voters said they are still open to changing their minds.? A New Hampshire surprise could tilt expectations. Santorum might just need more time.handbags louis vuitton But for now, everything’s coming up Romney. Methodology: The poll surveyed 1,519 adults, including 485 likely voters, by telephone on Jan. 4 and 5.? The sample was weighted to reflect statewide Census figures for gender, race, age, education and region of the state, and it carries an error margin of 賊4.fake ugg boots5 points.
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Remember that narrow, 8-vote win Mitt Romney scored in the Iowa caucuses? The one that launched him on a 2-for-2 run in the first two GOP contests, building his momentum and underscoring his case as the inevitable nominee? Turns out it didn’t happen.louis vuitton outlet online The final certified count in Iowa shows that it was indeed a close race??but that Rick Santorum came out ahead by 34 votes. The real winner, however, is still Mitt Romney??because for over two weeks he got the benefit of being described repeatedly in the media as the narrow “winner” of a caucus that journalists should have called a tie. And we’ll never know, but the difference it made may have been a hell of a lot more than a few votes. To explain why, let’s back up.louis vuitton neverfull Going into Iowa, Romney was doing well??Newt Gingrich, seen as his most serious national threat, was on a downslide??but the direction of the race was by no means certain. He was still having trouble expanding his voter base, and Santorum was gaining fast in polls. To compound matters, Romney had predicted victory the weekend going into the caucus, a news story that most people have probably forgotten, but??horserace coverage being what it is??would have played much bigger had the headline the next morning been his narrow loss. The morning after Iowa, the interpretation of the results was muddy, as the race was.fake uggs Some analysts called the finish a relief for Romney, others a disappointing finish for Romney and a sign of strength for Santorum. Some initial news reports called the race essentially a tie??which is how it should have been described, because a result that close is well within the margin of error for an election of tens of thousands of votes. Indeed, within days, the result was in question, as a caucus participant charged that Romney was erroneously credited with 22 votes at a caucus site where he only got 2??which in itself would have been enough to swing the vote to Santorum. But there’s no recount process in the Iowa caucus; Santorum, for whatever reason, chose to be happy with the result and not press the case that he might have won; and the press corps had to move on and cover New Hampshire the next week.ugg boots outlet And however careful the reporting the morning after, eventually??in the thousands of passing references to Iowa in the political news afterward??the story cemented: Mitt Romney had won an important, if razor-thin victory. (All elections this size have a margin of error, by the way, and we’ll never know the precise, error-free vote total. The Iowa GOP reported in this case that eight precincts’ votes went missing. Theoretically they could have given Romney the margin??but probably not, as the New York Times’ Nate Silver notes, because Santorum handily led those caucus sites in the election-night counts.gucci handbag for sale) Romney was leading New Hampshire by a lot anyway, and he went on to win it. But might he have lost a few percentage points from the perception that he had been weakened after Iowa? Maybe. Maybe not. There’s no time machine, no alternate timeline we can visit.louis vuitton backpack for sale If he had lost a few points, though, suddenly we would have been looking at an entirely different narrative: Romney came up just short in Iowa, having gone all in with his campaign in the closing weeks. Then he underperformed in New Hampshire, a state next door to Massachusetts, which he should have won going away. Is he weakened? Instead, we got the narrative that we did. After New Hampshire, we stopped hearing so much about how Romney won Iowa by 8 votes.louis vuitton handbags for sale We started hearing more about how he won the first two important contests of the primary. Over and over the statistic was repeated in passing: “No GOP candidate has ever won both states before… In short, Romney made history.” “Romney’s back-to-back-wins give him powerful momentum.” “No modern presidential candidate has ever won in Iowa and New Hampshire and failed to be crowned nominee.louis vuitton handbags for sale” The thing about primaries is that what matters is not just what you win. It’s the order in which you win (or lose), and the trajectory that is implied. How you do, or are perceived to have done, in one state affects how you do in the next, and so on. And arguably, in this election, this narrative is more important to Romney than any of his opponents.cheap gucci belts His major argument as a candidate, besides business experience, is electability: that is, the assumption by voters that he can get other voters to support him. An electability argument can be powerful, but it can also evaporate quickly after a loss. As I wrote the morning after Iowa: “If your chief pitch to voters is that you??re the one who can win a general election, it makes a big difference to have your name in headlines and chyrons next to verbs like ‘win’ and ‘beat.’” Now, political journalists could only report the results that they had.fake louis vuitton As of that morning after, the Iowa GOP said Romney was up 8 votes, so he was. But you only need a memory that goes back to 2000??if that far??to know that elections are subject to human error, miscounts, papers getting lost and found. Eight votes was certainly a slim enough margin that follow-up reports on Iowa should have described it as a tie, or a virtual tie, period??especially once reports began coming in of a possible overcount for Romney. I don’t see any bias here, in that there was any common desire among political reporters to credit Romney.gucci handbag for sale (If anything, I’d have to think a primary junkie would want to see him weakened, simply for the prospect of a long primary battle, or, the holy grail, a brokered convention.) I do see a bias for a neat, short answer??a bias for the gist. Our system of political reporting doesn’t do well with nebulous results. It likes winners and losers, it likes to draw conclusions and go on to the next thing.louis vuitton speedy So it did: so Romney “won” Iowa??and thus New Hampshire, and maybe South Carolina Saturday??until, apparently, for all we know, he lost it (or at least didn’t win it). Too late, probably, for the actual result to make any difference.
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Rick Perry dropped out of the Republican presidential race and endorsed Newt Gingrich on Thursday morning, delivering a short, jaunty speech to supporters in South Carolina.louis vuitton replica ?”I have come to the conclusion that there is no viable path forward for me … I am suspending my campaign and endorsing Newt Gingrich,” he told supporters in North Charleston. “I am neither discouraged nor disenchanted, but instead rewarded highly by the experience.” While the Texas governor pulled little support in the polls after a fall full of gaffes sent him limping into near last finishes in Iowa and New Hampshire, his move to back Gingrich just two days before the crucial South Carolina primary puts symbolic weight behind the former Speaker’s sprint to unite conservatives against Mitt Romney on Saturday. In a TIME/CNN poll released on Wednesday, 6% of likely South Carolina voters backed Perry.loui vuitton While the same survey found Romney leading Gingrich by 10 points, and Perry’s supporters are likely to split between Gingrich and former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum, momentum is definitely on Newt’s side. His rousing debate performance on Monday night drew effusive reviews from national and state conservatives alike, and a steady flow of unflattering coverage has dogged Romney in recent days ?? his admission that he probably pays close to a 15% tax rate on his income, much less than most middle-class American workers, was followed by an ABC News piece exposing assets he keeps offshore. (Romney never paid anything less than full U.S.louis vuitton neverfull tax rates.) (MORE:?With Nomination Almost in Reach, Romney Looks to Bury Gingrich Again in South Carolina) Perry’s announcement may help cloud some bad news for Gingrich ?? an interview with his estranged second wife is scheduled to air Thursday evening, in which she’s expected to speak about her ex-husband’s wish for an open marriage. “I believe Newt is a conservative visionary who can transform our country,” Perry said Thursday. “Newt is not perfect, but who among us is? The fact is, there is forgiviness for those who seek God.louis vuitton backpack for sale” The Texan’s departure also sets the stage for a dramatic debate. With the field winnowed to just four candidates ?? Romney, Gingrich, Santorum and Ron Paul ?? the focus will rarely leave the high-friction onstage dynamic between Gingrich and Romney on Thursday night. For his part, Perry will return to Texas as damaged goods. The powerful thrice-elected governor upended the GOP nominating contest when he made his late entrance in August, hailed as a Romney killer.gucci outlet online But a series of excruciatingly gaffey debate performances in the fall seriously damaged his credibility with Republican power brokers and his early buzz never materialized into votes at the polls. By the end, Perry had become the butt of facile jokes, even when he did nothing wrong. At one recent campaign event, Perry, jesting with the crowd, pretended to call on a mannequin with an upraised hand at the back of the room. Before anyone bothered to check the tape, the story exploded across the Twitterverse.handbags louis vuitton Journalists presumed that Perry has mistaken the wooden women for a real voter. (PHOTOS:?Political Pictures of the Week) But Perry may now have turned the joke on Romney. After deciding against slinking back to Texas when he was dealt a disappointing loss in Iowa, Perry extended his campaign long enough to juice Gingrich’s S.C.louis vuitton handbags for sale surge at a pivotal moment. Romney’s long game still looks unbeatable. But if he suffers a narrow defeat in South Carolina on Saturday, Rick Perry, at long last, will have played his part. Updated, 11:50 a.louis vuitton speedym.
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To the foreign policy left, Obama is a turncoat who spoke out against the George W.ugg boots outlet Bush Administration??s expansion of executive power during the 2008 campaign only to adopt some of Bush??s security-over-civil-liberties policies on taking office. To those on the right, Obama is a turncoat determined to cede American global preeminence to a combination of rising powers like China and India, and multilateral institutions like the United Nations. Obama gave both sides material to work with in his exclusive interview with TIME??s Fareed Zakaria on Wednesday. On the one hand, he used some of his strongest language to date to indicate his willingness to use force against Iran and al-Qaeda.louis vuitton neverfull At the same time, he reiterated his belief that multilateral institutions like the United Nations and ASEAN are needed to help tackle problems America is incapable of handling by itself. Obama as much as said that if Iran does not accept the international community??s offer to allow them to pursue a peaceful nuclear power program within the constraints of non-proliferation treaties he will resort to military force. ??We will take every step available to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon,?? Obama said. ??They can have peaceful nuclear power, as other countries do, subject to restrictions by the [nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty]… Can we guarantee that Iran takes the smarter path? No, which is why I??ve repeatedly said we don??t take any options off the table in preventing them from getting a nuclear weapon.gucci handbag for sale?? As for al-Qaeda, Obama is set on continuing his strikes against them in Afghanistan and in the ??safe havens?? in Pakistan, including the controversial use of drone strikes. ??We refocused attention on al-Qaeda, and they are badly wounded,?? Obama said. ??They??re not eliminated, but with the defeat not just of bin Laden but of most of the top leadership, the tightening noose around their safe havens, the incapacity for them to finance themselves ?? they??re much less capable than they were back in 2008… The counterterrorism strategy as applied to al-Qaeda has been extremely successful. The job??s not finished but there??s no doubt that we have severely degraded al-Qaeda??s capacity.ugg boots outlet?? Obama struck a much more institutionalist tone when talking about China. China will ??inevitably?? become the world??s largest economy, if it isn??t already, Obama said. ??Assuming that they maintain stability and current growth patterns, then, yes, it??s inevitable. Even if they slow down somewhat, they??re so large that they??d probably end up being, just in terms of the overall size of the economy, the largest.fake ugg boots?? So the U.S. must rally allies to convince the fast-growing power to adhere to international rules, Obama said. ??We??ve strengthened our alliances with Japan and South Korea,?? he said, and ??We have involved ourselves in the regional architecture, including organizations like ASEAN and APEC.ugg boots outlet?? The message to China? ??What we??ve tried to say to them very clearly is: Look you guys have grown up… and in that context whether it??s maritime issues or trade issues, you can??t do whatever you think is best for you. You??ve got to play by the same rules as everybody else.?? But it??s not just in Asia that Obama believes the U.S.fake ugg boots has to defer to alliances. ??Our participation in multilateral organizations has been extremely effective,?? he says. ??In the United Nations, not only do we have a voice but we have been able to shape an agenda.?? That??s designed to ??create a set of international rules and norms that everyone can follow and that everyone can benefit from,?? Obama says.fake louis vuitton ??It??s an American leadership that is??that recognizes the rise of countries like China and India and Brazil; it??s a U.S. leadership that recognizes our limits in terms of resources, capacity.?? Taken together, the interview provides rock-solid proof that Obama is a peace-loving, multilaterlist, war-mongering, American exceptionalist.fake uggs
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January 31 is set up to be a big day in the 2012 presidential presidential campaign.fake uggs Not only will Florida voters go to the polls, possibly sealing the party’s presidential nomination, but most super PACs that have been dominating the airwaves in recent weeks will finally report their donors, revealing for the first time the financial sources for all the attacks. Almost certainly, during all the hoopla of these news events, another big number will be lost in the shuffle. On the day before, the Bureau of Economic Statistics is set to announce at 8:30 a.m.gucci handbag for sale new figures for U.S. per-capita personal income growth for December of 2011. Who cares? Read on.louis vuitton neverfull As I write in this week’s issue of TIME, available to all-access subscribers, presidential elections have a long history of behaving like referendums on the relative strength of the national economy. Bad economies–Jimmy Carter in 1980, George H.W. Bush in 1992–tend to punish the incumbents.fake louis vuitton Good economies–Richard Nixon in 1972, Ronald Reagan in 1984–tend to reward the incumbents. This is not always the case–think Al Gore in 2000–but the effect is statistically demonstrable. A forthcoming book by political scientists Christopher Wlezian and Robert Erikson, The Timeline of Presidential Elections, reviews the patterns for the last 15 presidential elections and finds that economic fundamentals explain 54% in the difference in election results from cycle to cycle. The political press tends to harp on the unemployment rate as a measure of economic health, but this is problematic.louis vuitton handbags for sale The better measure, say those who have run the numbers, is weighted cumulative real income growth on a per capita basis. (Weighted simply means that each quarter closer to an election date counts more than the quarter before.) (MORE: Inside Obama’s World) Which brings us to the January 30 BEA report. It will only be a snapshot, but it is one that matters.fake louis vuitton If the economy is going to recover enough to improve Barack Obama’s chances at reelection, it will have to start happening soon. Wlezian and Erikson also found that the economic fundamentals in April of an election year are generally almost as good a predictor of the final vote as the fundamentals in November. So the question is this: As it now stands, just how bad does the economy look for Obama? The answer is pretty bad, by historic standards. Last fall, Douglas Hibbs Jr.louis vuitton speedy, ran the numbers and found that through the third quarter of last year, the economic performance under Obama predicted the president would get just 44.1% of the popular vote. That number was by no means set in stone, since there were still several quarter to come before the election, and each quarter would count more than the one that preceded it. But Obama does probably need to see a tangible pickup in economic growth to be comfortable.chanel handbags for sale Hibbs estimates that the comfort territory would only come with a year-over-year 4% increase in per capita real income, though a 2% increase would bring the expected incumbent vote on election day up to 48.2%. (PHOTOS:?Political Pictures of the Week) None of these figures are determinative. Hibbs model has successfully predicted each election since 1952 to within 2.fake louis vuitton5 percentage points, with the exception of two misses: 1996, when Hibbs model predicted a bigger Clinton win, and 2000, when Hibbs model predicted a bigger popular vote win by Al Gore. Political scientists generally agree that campaigns do matter–though they tend to cancel each other out–and that other factors like party identification, ideology and policy also affect the final vote. But the biggest single factor in moving the polls, presidential approval and the vote, in a time of general peace, is almost surely economic performance. And Barack Obama is short on time to put some better numbers on the board.handbags louis vuitton
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Uh-oh, there’s another wave of attacks–both here and in Israel–on those of us who support Israel, but not in the mindless, aggressive way that neoconservatives do and not at the expense of America’s national interests.louis vuitton handbags for sale Over there, Bibi Netanyahu has proclaimed the New York Times and Haaretz the “biggest” enemies of Israel. Over here, my old buddy Abe Foxman and assorted other declaimers of anti-semites and anti-semitism have added the Center for American Progress and Media Matters to their blacklist ?for using a term I’ve used in the past, “Israel Firster.” What we have here is a problem of conflation. Over there, Bibi Netanyahu conflates the best interests of Israel with the best interests of Bibi Netanyahu.louis vuitton outlet online Over here, we have a small but noisy group of people who conflate the American national interest with what they (mistakenly) perceive to be Israel’s national interest. Let me make two points: 1. The U.S.cheap gucci belts and Israel are allies, and I’m sure we always will be. But our national interests and priorities don’t always coincide. Iran is certainly a high priority for Israel–less so for its nuclear program than for the fact that Iran is arming far more immediate threats to Israel’s security, Hizballah and Hamas. Iran is less of a national security threat to the United States.louis vuitton handbags for sale It does sponsor terrorism, which makes the regime our enemy; it may well be trying to produce a nuclear weapon, which isn’t good news, either–although the Iranians are not crazy and would only want a bomb as a deterrent against neighbors like Israel and Pakistan who have nukes. Iran is certainly less of a threat to our national security than Pakistan, which already has 100 nuclear weapons, an unstable government and a military with a history of Islamist coups (and has been funding Taliban factions that are killing American troops in Afghanistan). And a pre-emptive war with Iran would be an unnecessary disaster, although I do not underestimate the possibility that such a war may take place if Iran crosses some bright line and initiates it. It seems to me that more than a few of those Americans who are pushing for war with Iran place Israel’s national defense priorities above own own–not just neoconservatives, but evangelical Rapturians and politicians like Newt Gingrich (funded by Sheldon Adelson–a classic Israel Firster, in that, by all reports, the only issue that motivates his largesse is a Likudnik view of Israel), and Rick Santorum, who has actually said that he wants to bomb Iran.gucci outlet online They’re dangerously wrong; they have an inalienable right to be foolish; they even have the right to place Israel’s national security concerns first. But ?such people go disgracefully overboard when they designate those of us who disagree with them as “anti-Semites.” Which brings me to my second point: I remember when the Anti-Defamation League had better things to do–during the civil rights movement; and during the period when Jews were discriminated against in college admissions, housing and a whole host of other areas. The ADL was an iconic institution back then; I considered Abe Foxman a hero.louis vuitton backpack for sale He is not anymore. He wantonly accuses people like David Petraeus, and me–and institutions like the Center for American Program and Media Matters–of anti-Semitism. He has debased a very important currency. I’m not carrying water for CAP or Media Matters.louis vuitton neverfull I’ve disagreed with both in the past and both have criticized things I’ve written (although neither accused me of being a bigot). Calling them anti-semitic is absurd, though. Calling David Petraeus anti-semitic because he implied that Israel’s occupation of Palestinian territories made life more dangerous for U.S.fake louis vuitton troops in the region–well beyond absurd, since he was implying an obvious truth. And I must say that being called an anti-semite by these people is surreal. Elliott Abrams launched a gross attack on me in the Weekly Standard based on a misinterpretation of something I wrote. I clarified that misinterpretation here.fake louis vuitton But Abrams never acknowledged that he had gotten it wrong. This is the sort of neoconservative thuggery that has become too familiar to those of us who disagree with these self-appointed defenders of Israel (or their perverse fantasy of Israel). Israel is in perilous place right now, more isolated than it has been in years. The Arab Spring has pretty much ended the cold peace with Egypt.louis vuitton belts It has ended the stable standoff with Syria. The alliance with Turkey is over, too. Hamas still lobs rockets from Gaza; Hizballah has grown even stronger–and better armed by the Iranians–since the 2oo6 war. I support Israel’s right to defend itself against such threats.louis vuitton handbags for sale But I don’t support everything Israel does, certainly not its expansion of illegal settlements on the West Bank, certainly not the increasing influence of religious zealots who want to impinge on the rights of secular Israelis. Those are the real threats to Israel’s existence–not the New York Times, Haaretz, CAP, Media Matters, Tom Friedman or me. The attempts to turn us into “enemies of Israel” are paranoid, demagogic and obnoxious.
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Newt Gingrich’s indignant response to the first question of Thursday night’s GOP presidential debate in South Carolina sucked every cubic centimeter of oxygen from the auditorium.fake ugg boots When asked to respond to his second wife’s allegation in an ABC News interview that he had once asked her for an open marriage, Gingrich became incensed, chastising ?the media for its “destructive” and “vicious” interest in personal issues. “I am appalled that you would begin a presidential debate on a topic like that,” he said to debate moderator John King of CNN. “[It's] as close to despicable as anything I can imagine.” As the crowd roared its approval, Gingrich returned to form, reviving his media criticism act from the fall debates before denying the charge outright.loui vuitton “I’m tired of the elite media protecting Barack Obama by attacking Republicans,” he said. “This story is false.” The audience??s raucous response was enough to inspire imitation. Though each of the other three candidates had pointedly mentioned their lengthy marriages in the opening minutes of the debate, they all paid lip service to Gingrich’s desire to move on.louis vuitton handbags for sale Romney, who had just introduced himself by way of noting his 42-year union, said, “Let’s get onto the real issues, that’s all I have to say.” The real issue for Romney, as usual, was criticizing President Obama, which he proceeded to do with gusto, settling into well-worn stump speech one-liners. ?”We have to replace Barack Obama to get America working again,” he said. But the sheer ferocity of Gingrich’s opening salvo seemed to linger in the debate hall, and when Romney was asked to respond to Newt’s criticism of his tenure at Bain Capital, the former governor took things further than he ever had before.louis vuitton handbags for sale After delivering his line about how “strange” it was to hear attacks on capitalism from fellow Republicans, Romney turned to Obama. “We’re going to stuff it down his throat that it is capitalism and freedom that make [America] strong,” he said. “My view is capitalism works.” Not to be outdone, Rick Santorum called Obama’s proposed defense cuts “disgusting.ugg boots outlet” Gingrich even got in a cheap teleprompter joke. With less than 48 hours until the primary and polls showing Gingrich closing in on Romney, the candidates didn??t wait long to turn the invective on each other. Santorum, suddenly hyper-aware that Gingrich is rallying conservatives to his banner in South Carolina, attacked his rival hard. First he struck on health care, explaining how he was drafting legislation for health savings accounts “while these guys were playing footsie with the left.fake louis vuitton” He knocked Newt for his “grandiosity”–which Newt quickly confirmed by remarking that “I think grandiose thoughts”– and predilection for controversy. “Something’s going to pop,” he said, “and we can’t afford to have that in a nominee.” Then on his tenure in the House: “No discipline…no ability to pull things together,” and a blow on the congressional check-kiting scandal of the early 1990s. Romney joined in at one point to slap down Gingrich’s talking points on his role in job creation during the ’80s–”You’re mentioned once in Ronald Reagan’s diary,” he said ??but for the most part, the front-runner had a rough night, appearing defensive and committing more unforced errors than usual.ugg boots outlet In making his well-rehearsed point about private sector knowhow trumping government experience, Romney gave his rivals yet another sound bite for their ad reels, calling for voters to elect someone who’s “lived in the real streets of America,” a situation with which Romney is almost certainly unfamiliar. As in Monday night??s debate, when Romney was asked when he’d release his tax returns, he once again seemed caught off guard, allowing only that he’d “probably” release his 2011 filings in April “and probably for others years as well.” His reason was as honest as it was clumsy — that Democrats would use the returns to attack him, a rationale his rivals swiftly demolished. And when asked if he’d follow his father’s example of releasing more than a decade’s worth of documents during his own 1968 presidential bid, he said “maybe,” drawing boos from the audience.louis vuitton speedy Romney was so off his game that when defending the health insurance reforms he instituted in Massachusetts, he even referred to it by its eponymous? pejorative, RomneyCare. Luckily for Romney, Santorum’s attacks on Gingrich were biting and effective, increasing the chance that South Carolina conservatives will splinter between the two men in Saturday’s primary, and thus boosting Romney’s chances of staying on top. But the unforgettable moment of the night belonged to Gingrich’s media diatribe, and voters ?? who, judging by the reaction of the audience, will eat it up — would be forgiven if they remember little else. (Paul, for one, was rarely called on.fake louis vuitton) In their closing arguments, Romney delivered his stump speech about restoring America as “the hope of the earth.” Santorum laid out the case that he offered the “clear contrast” with Obama, a clear plea to conservatives. But Gingrich’s conclusion rang the truest on this night. “I want to thank CNN,” he said.cheap gucci belts He might just be thanking them again on Saturday.
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0 minutes.gucci outlet online The CNN spaceship is set to launch, with blue gels on the lights that give the auditorium an alien aquarium vibe. It??s the 17th GOP debate of 2012 cycle. Roll the intro montage: ??Welcome to the South, the heart of the Republican Party,?? says the hokey disembodied voice, doing its best imitation of a Stephen Colbert send up, ??where tradition lives and values matter.?? What? Do Iowa and New Hampshire not care about tradition and values? Nonsense.fake ugg boots But we push on. We are veterans. We have learned to let the silly slide. 2 minutes.fake ugg boots Each candidate gets a shout out. Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney is ??the frontrunner.?? Texas Rep. Ron Paul is ??the insurgent.cheap gucci belts?? Rick Santorum has ??renewed momentum,?? though recent polls show it is in the wrong direction. Newt Gingrich is ??on the rise.?? Then each of the men take the stage with their variation of a high school dweeb strut. Romney is third, and the most talkative.loui vuitton ??Hi guys,?? he says to the others. ??Newt,?? he says shaking Gingrich??s hand. ??Ha ha,?? he says, because perhaps it is funny to be shaking Gingrich??s hand. ??And then there were four,?? he adds, because that is all that remain.replica louis vuitton 5 minutes. CNN pomp is unending, as usual. After Twitter and Facebook mentions, some military cadets sing the national anthem. The crowd turns to a flat-screen projection of Old Glory.louis vuitton handbags for sale ??That was fabulous. Absolutely fabulous,?? CNN host John King says afterward. At some point, the debate will start. But first he asks the candidates to make short opening statements.gucci outlet online For those who speak Republican, this means, “Brag about your brood.” 7 minutes. Santorum begins, noting his ??wife Karen and our seven children.?? He also thanks Iowa ??for a little delayed but most welcome victory there.louis vuitton outlet online?? Romney beats Santorum, not in Iowa, but in brood count. ??I’m married now 42 years. I have five sons, five daughters-in-law, 16 grandkids, and they’re the joy of my life.?? The married-a-long-time thing is a knock on thrice-married Gingrich, though Romney would probably swear to his grave that this is not true.replica louis vuitton Gingrich eschews brood stats for geographic pandering. ??As a Georgian, it feels good to be back at home in the South,?? he says. Paul mentions that he has been elected to Congress 12 times, 30 years as an obstetrician, and ??I’m the only U.S.louis vuitton replica veteran on this stage tonight.?? ?9 minutes. Finally a question, and it??s a doozy. Would Gingrich like to respond to his second wife??s claim that he wanted an open marriage more than a decade ago? ??No, but I will,?? he says, looking ornery.fake louis vuitton The crowd likes his attitude. ??I am appalled that you would begin a presidential debate on a topic like that.?? The crowd is on its feet applauding. ??To take an ex-wife and make it two days before the primary a significant question for a presidential campaign is as close to despicable as anything I can imagine.ugg boots outlet?? The place is going nuts. Gingrich goes on for a while. Then he adds, as if it no longer matters, ??The story is false.?? 11 minutes.gucci outlet online Gingrich is still going. ??I am tired of the elite media protecting Barack Obama by attacking Republicans.?? A second standing ovation. If being President only required an ability to rile the public into rage against the press, America wouldn??t need an election.loui vuitton There would be a coronation. (MORE: Gingrich Scorches Media at Fierce GOP Debate in South Carolina) 12 minutes. King asks Santorum if this open marriage/mistress stuff is an issue. Santorum says yes, as softly as he can.louis vuitton speedy ??These are issues of our lives and what we did in our lives,?? he says. ??They are issues of character for people to consider.?? 13 minutes. Romney won??t go there.louis vuitton replica ??John, let’s get on to the real issues is all I’ve got to say.?? The crowd likes that too. 14 minutes. Paul uses his turn at the Gingrich mistress plate to say media corporations are bad.gucci handbag for sale ??What about the corporations that run the media??? he asks, before joining in the media??s attack by adding apropos of nothing in particular that he has been married 54 years. 15 minutes. New topic. Unemployment.loui vuitton Name three things you would do to help reduce it. Paul says ??sound currency,?? less regulations and near-zero income taxes. Gingrich says repeal Dodd-Frank, increase domestic oil and gas exploration, and radically overhaul the Corps of Engineers. 18 minutes.louis vuitton speedy King follows up by asking Gingrich to attack Romney for his work at Bain Capital. Gingrich indulges, describing ??Bain Capital’s model, which was to take over a company and dramatically leverage it, leave it with a great deal of debt, made it less likely to survive.?? 19 minutes. Romney is asked to respond, and attacks Obama.replica louis vuitton ??You’ve got to stop the spread of crony capitalism. He gives General Motors to the UAW. He takes $500 million and sticks it into Solyndra. He — he stacks the labor stooges on the NLRB so they can say no to Boeing and take care of their friends in the labor movement,?? he says.louis vuitton replica The crowd rewards the Obama bashing with applause. 20 minutes. King persists on Bain, asking Romney to explain how he comes up with the figure of 120,000 jobs created at the firm. Romney says that is what four companies he helped to start now employ.louis vuitton neverfull ??I’m someone who believes in free enterprise,?? he continues. ??I think Adam Smith was right. And I’m going to stand and defend capitalism across this country, throughout this campaign.?? Then he turns it up a notch.fake louis vuitton ??I know we’re going to get hit hard from President Obama, but we’re going to stuff it down his throat and point out it is capitalism and freedom that makes America strong.?? The foie gras attack. 22 minutes. Santorum distinguishes between regular capitalism and the ??high finance?? of Romney.ugg boots outlet ??We need a party that just doesn’t talk about high finance and cutting corporate taxes or cutting the top tax rates,?? Santorum says. ??We need to talk about how we’re going to put men and women in this country, who built this country, back to work in this country in the manufacturing sector of our economy.?? He’s the Joe Biden of the GOP. Pure Scranton.louis vuitton backpack for sale 24 minutes. Talk about the challenges faced by returning military veterans. Everyone on stage is concerned. Paul says he worries about the high rate of suicide.cheap gucci belts Santorum says there should be job preferences. Romney says he wants the states to do much of the work. Gingrich says cut taxes and help veterans with a program like the G.I.louis vuitton neverfull Bill after World War II. 31 minutes. Question on ObamaCare. Romney says repeal it and replace it with something ??like a market, a consumer market, as opposed to have it run like Amtrak and the post office.loui vuitton?? This is not an accurate description of how ObamaCare works, but let it slide. Move on. Gingrich says he’d ??repeal all of it because I so deeply distrust the congressional staffs that I would not want them to be able to pick and choose which things they cut.?? By this logic, congressional staff would never get to do any legislating.ugg boots outlet But let it slide. Move on. 35 minutes. Santorum uses this opportunity to attack both Romney and Gingrich for once supporting the individual mandate in ObamaCare.louis vuitton outlet online He calls Romney??s health reforms in Massachusetts ??an abject disaster.?? Romney objects. ??First of all, the system in my state is not a government-run system,?? he says. This is true, but it is kind of funny to hear Romney say it, since he just mischaracterized ObamaCare as a ??government-run system.fake ugg boots?? Let it slide. Move on. 39 minutes. They go back and forth for a while, covering old ground.replica louis vuitton At one point, Romney does another ??Ha ha,?? to express condescension at the attacks on him. When it comes around to Gingrich, he changes the subject by saying, again, that he wants 3-hour debates with Obama. ??I will let him use a teleprompter. I would just rely on knowledge.louis vuitton replica We??ll do fine.?? A real crowd-pleaser that Gingrich. 42 minutes. After more needling from Santorum, Gingrich admits he was wrong about the individual mandate.louis vuitton neverfull 43 minutes. Paul finally gets a chance to talk again. He says government should not be involved in medicine. Then he pivots to a discussion about why U.louis vuitton outlet onlineS. military bases overseas are bad, as are recent military adventures. 45 minutes. That brings us to the first break.louis vuitton replica Before cutting to commercial, King says Gingrich has released his tax returns while the candidates have been on stage. Nice trick. Can we expect gimics like this in future debates? 49 minutes. We??re back.louis vuitton outlet online King promptly gets Gingrich and Santorum fighting again. ??Grandiosity has never been a problem with Newt Gingrich,?? Santorum says. ??I don’t want a nominee that I have to worry about going out and looking at the paper the next day and worrying about what he’s going to say next.?? That is a line taken almost word-for-word from the Romney campaign.cheap gucci belts Then Santorum says he finished ahead of Gingrich in New Hampshire, which is not true. Gingrich got 49 more votes. Nonetheless, Santorum accuses Gingrich of having ??not cogent thoughts.?? 53 minutes.handbags louis vuitton Gingrich responds by listing pretty much everything good that happened during his two decade run in the U.S. House. Then he says, ??I think grandiose thoughts.louis vuitton speedy This is a grandiose country of big people doing big things.?? Applause of course. More tit for tat follows. But no more fancy words like grandiose.cheap gucci belts 56 minutes. Romney tries to chime in by saying that this squabbling just shows he??s the outsider who can fix Washington. But Romney does it really awkwardly, describing himself as someone ??who’s lived in the real streets of America.?? Not clear if he is referring to the old family mansion in Belmont, Mass.fake ugg boots, or the beach house in La Jolla, Calif., or the Deer Valley, Utah, lodge he once owned. Or maybe another ??real street?? he has yet to disclose. In the middle of the answer, Romney gets lost.gucci handbag for sale Then he finds his way, and attacks Gingrich for not really having as much to do with Ronald Reagan as he claims. ??You’re mentioned once in Ronald Reagan’s diary,?? Romney says. 58 minutes. Gingrich shoots back.gucci outlet online ??You did very well under the rules that we created to make it easier for entrepreneurs to go out and do things,?? he says to Romney. ??I don’t recall a single day saying, ‘Oh, thank heavens Washington is there for me,’?? Romney responds. 59 minutes. Question for Paul.louis vuitton handbags for sale Will he release his tax returns? ??I’d probably be embarrassed to put my financial statement up against their income,?? he jokes of the others on the stage. 60 minutes. Romney cleans up his big mistake from the last debate, and says he will release his tax returns in April. Then, as he always does when uncomfortable, he attacks Obama.handbags louis vuitton ??You’ve got a President who’s played 90 rounds of golf while there are 25 million Americans out of work,?? Romney says. 63 minutes. Santorum says he will release his returns as soon as he gets home and prints them off his computer. 64 minutes.gucci outlet online King asks Romney if he will release 12 years of his tax returns, like his father George Romney did when he ran in 1968. Romney smiles at the mention of his father, but doesn??t answer the question. ??Maybe,?? he says, as the crowd starts to boo. ??You know, I don’t know how many years I’ll release.ugg boots outlet?? 66 minutes. King asks a question premised on the fact that the best example of American corporate success at the moment, Apple Inc., has 500,000 employees in China and much fewer in the United States. This allows Santorum to get another Joe Biden riff going about revitalizing American manufacturing.gucci outlet online Paul sees the question as an opportunity to deliver an economics lesson on the benefits of trade. Then Paul and Santorum bicker about Santorum??s one-time aversion to a national right-to-work bill. 71 minutes. King asks a question about the recent bills in Congress that would put new restrictions on websites to protect intellectual property.chanel handbags for sale He also discloses that CNN??s parent company, Time Warner, which is also TIME??s parent company, is a big supporter of these bills. The mention of the corporate monster responsible for The Hangover II and Harry Potter VII earns lots of boos from the crowd. ??You’re asking a conservative about the economic interests of Hollywood,?? Gingrich jokes. Bottom line, Romney, Gingrich and Paul are against the bills.ugg boots outlet Santorum is against the bills as well, but more eager to find some new rules to further protect intellectual property. ??Where in America does it say that anything goes??? Santorum asks. There are some places, but Santorum has probably never been to them. (MORE: Washington SOPA Opera) 76 minutes.louis vuitton belts Break number two. Say what you want about the evils of Time Warner, but at least it allows CNN to go light on the commercial breaks. 78 minutes. We??re back.louis vuitton neverfull No we??re not. Another commercial break. Ignore the corporate backscratching at minute 76. Another movie made by Time Warner: Cats and Dogs–The Revenge of Kitty Galore.ugg boots outlet 81 minutes. Back for real this time. The candidates are asked for one thing they would do over in the campaign. Gingrich says he would skip the first three months of the campaign when he ??hired regular consultants and tried to figure how to be a normal candidate.gucci handbag for sale?? Romney jokes that he would ??get 25 more votes in Iowa.?? That??s funny. Then Romney adds, ??I guess I also would go back and take every moment I spent talking about one of the guys on the stage and spend that time talking about Barack Obama.?? This is disingenuous, but on message, and thus an apt summary of Romney??s apparent strength and weakness.ugg boots outlet (As Romney says it, his campaign is blitzing reporters with more anti-Gingrich agitprop by e-mail.) Paul and Santorum can??t think of anything they would do differently. 84 minutes. Immigration time.handbags louis vuitton Same as before. Build a fence. Etc. Just look through previous ??What You Missed?? summaries to get the idea.louis vuitton handbags for sale 95 minutes. Abortion time. Gingrich attacks Romney for changing his mind on the issue. ??Governor Romney has said that he had a experience in a lab and became pro-life, and I accept that,?? Gingrich says.louis vuitton speedy Experience in a lab. Priceless. Then Gingrich says that Romney still appointed pro-choice judges, and still allowed for Planned Parenthood to benefit from his state health reforms. Santorum piles on, saying the country needs a pro-life crusader, not just a pro-life politician.gucci outlet online It??s like a tag team. At one point Gingrich even says, ??I??ll yield to Senator Santorum.?? Romney defends himself by pointing out that he had little choice, given the state he was in, and says he really is pro-life. 103 minutes.cheap gucci belts Paul finally gets a chance to speak again. He gets into a spat with Santorum about his own pro-life record. Paul calls abortion ??a violent act?? that should be handled by state, not federal, law; Santorum disagrees. At one point, Paul says to Santorum, ??You are overly sensitive.chanel handbags for sale?? 107 minutes. Final break. 111 minutes. We??re back.gucci outlet online King asks for closing arguments. Paul talks about liberty. Gingrich talks about certain doom if Obama is reelected, and suggests he is the only person who can defeat Obama. Romney lapses into his stump speech, quoting from the Declaration of Independence, and whatnot.ugg boots outlet Santorum argues that you need a conservative who will draw a sharp contrast with Obama. 118 minutes. ??That concludes our debate this evening,?? says King. And so it does.cheap gucci belts Four candidates still remain. No one knows how many more Republican debates are left. Should they go the way of that one pizza guy, they too won??t be missed.
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